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3 edition of Effects of modeling errors on trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation found in the catalog.

Effects of modeling errors on trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation

Effects of modeling errors on trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation

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  • 40 Currently reading

Published by National Aeronautics and Space Administration, National Technical Information Service, distributor in [Washington, D.C, Springfield, Va .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Air traffic control.,
  • Error analysis.,
  • Mathematical models.,
  • Flight paths.

  • Edition Notes

    StatementMichael R.C. Jackson, Yiyuan Zhao, Rhonda Slattery.
    SeriesNASA-TM -- 111861., NASA technical memorandum -- 111861.
    ContributionsZhao, Yiyuan., Slattery, Rhonda., United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
    The Physical Object
    FormatMicroform
    Pagination1 v.
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL15498380M

    trajectory prediction (TP) system. This paper addresses the compact expression of TP performance and its relationship to dependent ATM automation. At the heart of many future ATM automation systems is the trajectory predictor, delivering forecasts of aircraft trajectories upon which automation tools base advisories. trajectory prediction errors are present, and 99% performance when trajectory prediction errors are removed. Late conflict detections due to climb trajectory prediction uncertainty are the largest contributor to LoS. 1 Introduction. Air traffic controller workload is a major factor limiting airspace capacity under today’s operations.

    BADA enables aircraft trajectory modeling in support of, among others, the following applications: (1) Air traffic simulation for operations analysis and Air Traffic Control (ATC) training; (2) Research and validation of new ATM concepts, tools and equipment before they are introduced into operational service; (3) Trajectory prediction for.   Trajectory prediction model. LSTM network was initially introduced to 4-D flight trajectory prediction in our former work. We have optimized the LSTM network by adding its depth in this research to improve its performance. Two LSTM layers are stacked in our optimized LSTM network, which is followed by a Dense layer before output.

    Action Plan 16 (AP16) for Common Trajectory Prediction Capabilities. AP16 is a team of senior trajectory-prediction experts representing the FAA, NASA, Eurocontrol research labs, and major industry R&D organizations developing air-traffic-control and airborne (e.g., avionics and airframe) automation systems.   This language provides detailed input for a ground-based trajectory predictor, thereby facilitating more accurate trajectory predictions for ATC. However, trajectory predictions based on AIDL depend on wind modeling, and large wind modeling errors at any particular time can cause large trajectory prediction errors.


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Effects of modeling errors on trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation Download PDF EPUB FB2

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[Michael R C Jackson; Yiyuan Zhao; Rhonda Slattery; United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration.]. trajectories. This paper examines the effects of aircraft modeling errors on the accuracy of trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation. Three-dimensional point-mass aircraft equations of motion are assumed to be able to generate actual aircraft flight paths.

Modeling errors are described as uncertain parameters or uncertain input. These errors are due to incomplete modeling of current air traffic procedural constraints, such as descent profile operations. The relevance of these results on the traffic flow management domain are discussed, with particular emphasis on benefits to time-based coordination and information flow between different air traffic by: 5.

This paper examines the effects of aircraft modeling errors on the accuracy of trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation. Three-dimensional point-mass aircraft equations of motion are assumed to be able to generate actual aircraft flight paths. Modeling errors are described as uncertain parameters or uncertain input functions.

The top-of-climb (TOC) matching method described and evaluated in this paper focuses on improving vertical trajectory prediction accuracy for climbing flights because % have altitude errors.

Sequential Monte Carlo methods for multi-aircraft trajectory prediction in air traffic management 25 April | International Journal of Adaptive Control and Signal Processing, Vol. 24, No. 10 Fundamental Surface Trajectory Models for Air Traffic Automation. Trajectory synthesis algorithms that are key to the center ‐terminal radar approach control automation system (CTAS) developed at NASA Ames Research Center for air trafe c control automation are discussed.

CTAS generates computer advisories based on synthesized trajectories that help controllers to produce a safe, efe cient, and expeditious e ow of trafe c over the extended terminal area.

Sequential Monte Carlo methods for multi-aircraft trajectory prediction in air traffic management 25 April | International Journal of Adaptive Control and Signal Processing, Vol. 24, No. 10 Predictability of Top of Descent Location for Operational Idle-Thrust Descents.

However, trajectory predictions based on AIDL depend on wind modeling, and large wind modeling errors at any particular time can cause large trajectory prediction errors.

The FMS will not have the data it needs to compensate for the wind errors and bound the resulting position error. Traffic data from AM to PM (local time) in the Fort Worth Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC, or Center) for 14 days between mid-February and early March were used in this analysis.

Future air traffic management (ATM) decision support systems (DSS) rely upon trajectory forecasting to adequately deliver benefits.

These forecasts are subject to errors from a variety of sources. As the number and sophistication of ATM DSS capabilities grow, the interoperability between DSS will become more sensitive to the. Aggregate CTAS trajectory prediction errors based on analysis of hundreds of actual en route trajectories can be on the order of nmi (1-sigma) for 10 min level flight trajectory predictions.

The aircraft performance model used relies on the EUROCONTROL Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) set and the computed trajectory accounts for the effects of wind. Inputs include navigation data and aircraft intent information, which unambiguously define the trajectory to be computed according to the flight plan.

To resolve the problem of future airspace management under great traffic flow and high density condition, 4D trajectory estimation has become one of the core technologies of the next new generation air traffic control automation system.

According to the flight profile and the dynamics models of different aircraft types under different flight conditions, a hybrid system model that switches the. detect the effects of subsequent changes to the trajectory prediction algorithm and to arrival metering, and other applications in air traffic management automation.

A 4-dimensional (4D) trajectory prediction errors for each phase of flight need to be determined separately. Keywords—Air Traffic Control, Human-in-the-Loop Simulation, Trajectory Prediction Uncertainty, Human-Automation Interaction, Interrupted Time-Series I. INTRODUCTION The National Airspace System (NAS) forecasts continued growth in traffic demand [1], and under the plans for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), the Federal.

Modeling and Estimating Airspace Movements Using Air Traffic Control Transcription Data: A Data–Driven Approach: Advanced Modeling: Authors: Karthik Gopalakrishnan, Hamsa Balakrishnan and Richard Jordan Deconstructing Delay Dynamics: An air traffic network example: System Performance.

Elements of trajectory prediction errors can come from the following sources: aircraft surveillance (radar, ADS-B), intent (controller instruction, pilot procedures), navigation, aircraft performance modeling, and weather forecasts. Many air traffic control decision support tools such as Center TRACON Automation System (CTAS) use Rapid.

Future air traffic environments have the potential to exceed human operator capabilities. In response, air traffic control systems are being modernized to provide automated tools to overcome current-day workload limits.

Highly accurate aircraft trajectory predictions are a critical element of the automated tools envisioned as part of. performance model on a per-flight basis based on observed track and atmospheric data has reduced climb trajectory prediction errors The adaptive weight algorithm does time using NASA’s Center/TRACON Automation System (CTAS)17 Trajectory Synthesizer (TS) are presented.

This study compared trajectory predictions for climbing flights.where the effects of trajectory uncertainty are expected to be more disruptive [3]. The present work explores the effects of descent trajectory prediction errors on the performance of the AAC Arrival Manager in asimplified time-based metering environment.

The goal of this study is to characterize the impact of errors in predicted descent.In recent years air traffic management research has focused on greater use of flight trajectory predictions and air/ground data link communication as a basis for a better air traffic control system.

High-level concepts for the use of trajectory-based automation as the basis for a next-generation air traffic control system are.